Malvern, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

824
FXUS64 KLZK 160002
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
702 PM CDT Fri Aug 15 2025

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1247 AM CDT Fri Aug 15 2025

All quiet across the Natural State early this Fri morning...with dry
conditions...a mostly clear sky...and temps in the mid 70s to low
80s. The center of the upper ridge is located to the NW of the state
early this morning...but this will change later today and over the
weekend.

Temps today will be similar to maybe slightly warmer than seen on
Thu for this Fri afternoon. Dewpts will also be similar or maybe
slightly higher for portions of the area. Resulting heat index
values will increase as a result. Have expanded the Heat Adv to
include areas with best potential for getting near or exceeding Heat
Adv criteria this Fri afternoon.

The upper ridge to the NW of the state this morning will slowly
shift east over the weekend...becoming centered over MO into NRN AR
by Sun morning. This trend will allow for temps to remain above
normal for highs over the weekend...with the overall chances for
convection remaining generally low. However...this doesn`t mean
there will be no potential for some isolated afternoon convection
over the weekend. With the center of the upper ridge mainly north of
AR...and portions of the state seeing a bit less influence from this
upper ridge...do think some isolated afternoon pulse-type convection
will still be possible for some areas into early next week.

By the middle to latter half of next week...the upper ridge will
shift west over the 4-Corners region of the CONUS. This will allow
for AR to be under a more NRLY/NWRLY flow aloft later next
week...resulting in cooler temps...and better potential for
afternoon convection. There may even be potential for a weak cold
front to drop south into/through the state by late next week...which
may provide some enhanced potential for rain. However...there is
some uncertainty on when this front will move through...and how
potent the impacts will be. Even so...cooler temps and at least some
increased potential for afternoon convection will be seen by late
next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 659 PM CDT Fri Aug 15 2025

Scattered SHRA/TSRA will linger over the next couple of hours
near or across Cntrl/Srn terminals. Afterwards, activity should
diminish. VFR conds are expected to prevail outside of convection.
S/SWrly winds around 10 kts or less are expected on Sat with fair
weather Cu developing in the afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     74  98  74  99 /  10  10   0  10
Camden AR         73  97  73  98 /  10  20   0  20
Harrison AR       73  95  72  96 /   0  10   0  10
Hot Springs AR    75  98  75 100 /  10  20  10  20
Little Rock   AR  76  97  77  98 /  10  10   0  10
Monticello AR     75  98  75  99 /  10  20   0  10
Mount Ida AR      74  96  73  98 /  10  20  10  20
Mountain Home AR  73  98  72  98 /   0  10   0  10
Newport AR        75  97  75  98 /   0  10   0  10
Pine Bluff AR     75  97  75  99 /  10  10   0  10
Russellville AR   76 100  75 101 /   0  10  10  10
Searcy AR         74  98  74 100 /   0  20   0  10
Stuttgart AR      76  97  76  99 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ007-008-016-017-
024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-121>123-130-138-230-
238.

Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM CDT Saturday for ARZ007-008-016-
017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-121>123-130-138-
230-238.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...70